In:
Clemson 11 0
Wake Forest 7 3
Virginia 7 3
Pittsburgh 7 3
Virginia Tech 7 3
Miami (FL) 6 4
Louisville 6 4
Florida State 6 5
more work to do:
Boston College 5 5 @Pitt, @ND
NC State 4 6 GT, NC
Syracuse 4 6 @Ville, Wake
North Carolina 4 6 mercer, @nc state
Duke 4 6 @wake, Miami
done:
Georgia Tech 2 8
I. If Clemson makes the playoff:
next highest ranked team would go to the orange bowl
A. if orange bowl opponent is from Big 10:
ACC team to Citrus bowl
ACC team to Camping World bowl (so 4 teams right now would be accounted for... Clemson, orange, citrus, camping world)
Tier 1 bowls... Belk, music city or gator, pinstripe, Tony the Tiger bowl (so 7 spots covered plus 1 for ND)
Tier 2... military bowl, independence bowl, quick lane bowl (10 teams needed plus 1 for ND)
B. if orange bowl opponent is not from Big10:
ACC team to Camping World bowl (so 4 teams right now would be accounted for... Clemson, orange, camping world)
Tier 1 bowls... Belk, music city or gator, pinstripe, Tony the Tiger bowl (so 6 spots covered plus 1 for ND)
Tier 2... military bowl, independence bowl, quick lane bowl (9 teams needed plus 1 for ND)
I. if Clemson doesn't make the playoff, then 1 less team in the 2 scenarios above
Right now, 8 teams are qualified with 5 more able to (four plus BC).
Assuming NC beats mercer, and nc state beats GT, then the winner of NC/NC State would qualify.... 9 ACC teams in.
Lets assume BC loses out to go 5-7.
Im guessing Duke has a good APR so that prob means BC's only chance to get in would be to hope for the following:
1) Clemson gets into the playoff
2) Syracuse doesn't get six (loses to Ville OR miami)... eliminated
3) duke loses to BOTH wake and Miami.... eliminated
4) Big10 is the orange bowl opponent OR ND gets a new year's six game OR ND is the orange bowl opponent
if the Big10 is the orange bowl opponent, then there would be 11 spots and ND would take one of those spots. That would leave the ACC with a hole to fill for the 11th (which would be BC could fill at 5 wins and a good APR since there would be no other available teams available).
Alternatively, if ND gets a NY6 bid or it becomes the orange bowl opponent and Big ten is not the opponent it would be 10 spots with ND not taking one of them and thus BC could fill the 10th for the same reason.
If the Big 10 opponent is in the orange bowl and ND gets a NY6 game, then there would be 11 spots with ND not taking one of them so in that scenario, Duke could win one of their games and get in as well.
There are also 2 bowls which could have openings if they are not filled by other conferences:
Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl
Birmingham Bowl
but im guessing it would be hard for BC to get in them with 5 wins.
BOTTOM LINE, the odds of BC getting a bowl bid at 5 wins is very low and they need to win another game or their fate is dependent on a LOT of other things.
Source: ACC Bowl Lineup
I like bc football.