FWIW...this is from bracketology 101, the most accurate site out there.
Friday Preview
We'll keep it simple:
Colorado - Win and they are an absolute lock. Lose and they should still be safe, but they will have a long 2 days of waiting.
New Mexico - Win and they get serious consideration. No chance with loss
Penn State - Win and they likely end up on the last four in line. No chance with loss
USC - Win and they will either be the last team in or out. No chance with loss
Georgia - Win and they are an absolute lock. Lose and they should still be safe, but they will have a long 2 days of waiting.
Alabama - Win and they are fairly safe. Lose and its tough to imagine scenarios where they don't get squeezed.
Michigan State - Win and they are an absolute lock. Lose and they should be safe.
Michigan - Win and they are an absolute lock. Lose and they should still be safe but it also depends on what Penn State and Michigan State do.
Boston College - Win and they're in, lose and they're out.
Clemson - Win and they likely will be one of last teams in, lose and they are done.
Richmond - Win and they are an absolute lock. Lose and they should be safe, but it will be a long 2 days.
Virginia Tech - Win and they are in, lose and they are likely out.
St. Mary's - Nothing really to gain from the Weber State game. They are expected to win big and need to do so.