So far everything's been going very well for the Eagles in terms of things they can't control. No autobids taken by non-at-large worthy teams over at-large worthy teams in the lower ranks. Teams like Nebraska and Baylor bowing out extra early. Obviously, it's in BC's interest to not see an Oklahoma St or Oregon win their conference tourney.
But keep an eye on the following games as major conference tourneys start ramping up (listed roughly in order of perceived importance with respect to BC):
GT over VT (to complete and patent the "Greenberg collapse")
Iowa over MSU (I don't see this happening)
KSU over Colorado (the win over Iowa State probably wasn't enough unless everyone else falters)
Auburn over Georgia (Auburn is good awful - expect a bubble bursting matchup between UGA and BAMA)
Cal over USC (both bubble, but USC is far more likely to make the field and Cal would need to take down AZ to have a chance)
Southern Miss over Memphis (USM already is 0-2 v. the Tigers)
Wazzu over Washington (both bubble, but could help BC's seeding as Wazzu would probably need to take down UCLA for a prayer)
NCSU over UMD (as one of the underachievers in the ACC, might as well squelch any chance UMD has or would have of a tourney run)
Indiana over Penn St (PSU is a long shot and Wisco will drill the winner of this game next round anyway)
Arkansas over Tennessee (I think Tennessee is probably already in)