eepstein0 wrote:eagle9903 wrote:EagleNYC wrote:Reason number #198742 that I dislike the SABR community is the over-reliance upon the concept of "regression to the mean." Jackson's had a few hot games because he is streaky; remember when he couldn't buy a basket? By switching to a hot streak he isn't compensating for a slow start, he's just streaky. That's how some shooters can be.
At the same time, athletes (particularly college atheletes) improve all the time. They mature physically and mentally, and therefore, there is a "new mean" so to speak. Look no further than Ryan Anderson. Rant over.
eppy is using it the opposite way though, I think. He's saying (again I think) that it was stupid for people to peg him as a horrific shooter and his return to not being a horrific shooter is the regression to the mean. That doesn't strike me as sabermetric-y. That's just not ignoring an entire season in favor of 6 or 7 games.
This. You all need to go back and review math. Even though the phrase is regression to the mean, it can be up or down. Jackson is a good shooter.
I'm beginning to agree/like 9903 recently. Scary proposition.
next year i think jackson will be our 7th man getting about 15-20 minutes a game. thats where he should be. in the ACC he is a 7th man not a starter. i think he is capable of big games but is overall not that consistent, thats why he should be getting fewer minutes around 15 a game.