Dick Rosenthal {l Wrote}:eagletx {l Wrote}:Not that I follow such things, but the spread on the ND-GT game is less than Clemson-BC? Respect for Clemson or disrespect for ND?
Little of Column A and a little of Column B. I think bettors are justifiably wary of Notre Dame. The Notre Dame that showed up against Pitt is a legitimate playoff team—not good enough to beat OSU, Clemson or Alabama, but with a good enough defense to keep the loss respectable barring injuries—and better or as good as any of the other also rans. The Notre Dame that showed up against Louisville, Duke or Florida State will still beat Georgia Tech comfortably, but might not cover a big spread.
Notre Dame is a text book on how critical QB play is to the modern game. You really can’t get away with a game manager anymore like Alabama did at the beginning of the current dynastic run. Notre Dame’s defense is legit. There are 4 projected 1st rounders on the defense and a bunch of 2nd and 3rd round picks. Their defense is actually much better than Alabama’s current iteration and on a level with Clemson’s and Ohio States. Their O-line is the best they have had during Kelly’s tenure, currently 4 of their 5 starters are projected as 1st or 2nd round picks and all eight OL in their rotation are projected to get drafted, which is insane. They have 2 TEs who are projected as 1st round picks (Mike Florio has stated that their true freshman TE, Mike Mayer, looks like the most complete TE he has seen at the college level). The gaping hole that they have, and what keeps them from having a chance to play with the Big 3 is that Book is a middling 3 star recruit who plays to that level. Book is further exposed by a lack of experience at WR (there is talent there as well, but it is really, really young) and there is no Chase Claypool or Miles Boykin (both guys who took a couple of years to develop) to bail out Book’s shitty assortment of floaters, wobbling ducks and 50/50 balls (that are really 20/80 balls for receivers who aren’t beasts like Claypool and Boykin). Duke schemed well—they forced everything through Book and as such were able to keep it close until ND’s O-line wore them out in the 2nd half. Florida State did so as well—luring Book into some bad turnovers that lead to immediate scores before ND’s O-line ground them into dust. Louisville was the most interesting. It was a real windy day, which meant Book’s pea shooter arm was particularly ineffective. So Louisville stacked the box and made it as hard to run as they possibly could. What was more interesting was Notre Dame’s reaction—they just ran the ball and the clock. They correctly judged that Louisville was good for 7 points top and decided to play a clock burning service academy type game. ND ended up with 7 total possessions (scored on 3 of them) and Louisville had 6 total possessions (scored on one of them). The one time they let Book off his leash, he threw a pick in the end zone.
Anyway, if ND decides to go to ground because of Book’s numerous liabilities and shortcomings, they may not cover because they know their defense can strangle GT and why risk having Book hand GT a couple of easy scores, as he did against Florida State. With that said, given how we ran all over GT, I would expect Notre Dame to gash them for 300+ yards rushing with Book doing nothing but dinking and dunking to his RBs out of the backfield or his TEs.
Sounds like Jurk's big arm and threat to run would have been useful this year.