EagleNYC wrote:We are witnessing a wonderful example of the difference between regular season and playoff baseball. The Red Sox are having a dream season, steamrolling with near perfection (Youk and Crawford being exceptions). Until Clay's injury they had avoided major injuries (Lester missed 3 starts or so, but that's really nothing). They are destroying teams. At the same time, the Yankees have a rotation held together by duct tape, with retreads and a rookie filling out 3-5 (accepting that Hughes is probably spent and will be replaced by Nova). And 107 games into the season they are separated by one game. Pretty remarkable.
But now handicap those two teams in the playoffs. In my estimation, I'd put the Sox at about 2-1 to come out of the AL, with Yankees at 8-1. Starting pitching is the name of the game, and while the Yankees have been very lucky, I have no confidence in their ability to win a playoff series.
In fairness, the Red Sox spent the entirety of July starting guys like Andrew Miller, Alfredo Aceves, Kyle Weiland, and John Lackey (6+ ERA and shitty attitude and all). The reason they went 20-6 that month was because they mash as you mentioned and because they played mostly shitty teams. But, despite the gaudy record, they're not actually playing great right now and have their share of personnel issues. They will coast to the playoffs, but unless they get a third starter squared away, I'd say the Rangers are the favorite to come out of the AL. I would agree with you that at this point in time, the Red Sox would be a strong favorite against the Yankees in a seven game series, but they still have some issues in the rotation to square away. Neither team has the strong 3 man rotation that is typically needed to succeed in the playoffs.